- Author
- Posted by cdrnsf, with replies from many commenters
- Published
- 29 December 2025
- Kind
- Hacker News discussion thread on a blog post
- Original
- news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46424233
- Subject
- Coding with agents
What it is
The linked post is by Jason Gorman of Codemanship, dated 25 November 2025. It looks back at earlier predictions that programmers would be replaced. The thread gathers replies from many commenters.
What it says
- Gorman's post says each tool predicted to end programmers brought more programmers.
- Gorman says the hard part is turning human thinking into logically precise computational thinking.
- Gorman cites Dijkstra, who said we will never be programming in English, French or Spanish.
- The post says there is no credible evidence AI is replacing developers in numbers.
- Gorman is skeptical that hyper-scale LLMs have a viable long-term future.
- Commenter simonw disputes that model costs doom large models, citing reported single-digit-million training costs.
- Commenter mohsen1 says AI does work that once needed an org, and finds it scary.
What evidence it gives
The post argues from the author's 43 years of experience and from history, without data. In the thread, simonw links a DeepSeek paper and a news report for training costs. Other comments are anecdote.
Interests and limits
The author sells training in technical practices, and the post mentions workshops. Predictions about the market are opinion. Commenters are self-selected programmers. Read the linked post in full but only the opening comments of the thread.